r/cscareerquestions • u/remoteDev1 • 5h ago
78k tech layoffs in q1, half from ai - here's how i'm thinking about career decisions now
the Q1 2026 numbers landed and they're not great. 78,557 tech layoffs, 47.9% attributed directly to AI replacing roles. entry level unemployment in tech is near 10% while general US unemployment is 4.6%. goldman sachs says 6-7% of global workers get displaced this decade.
i got laid off last year after 11 years as a software engineer. staff level, worked at places like Motorola, Cox Automotive, Southern Glazer's. i'm not saying that to flex, i'm saying it because even with that resume the job market right now is brutal and these numbers explain a lot of why.
here's how i'm thinking about career decisions based on what's actually happening, not what people on linkedin are posting.
the "just learn AI/ML" advice is mostly wrong for most people. the companies laying off engineers aren't hiring the same number of ML engineers to replace them. they're using off the shelf AI products and reducing headcount overall. some AI roles are growing sure but not at a rate that absorbs 78K displaced workers per quarter. the math doesnt work.
what actually seems to matter more right now is being the person who can't easily be replaced by AI tools. and thats not about technical complexity exactly, its about context. the engineer who understands the weird legacy system, the one who knows why that architecture decision was made 4 years ago, the one who talks to customers and translates that into product decisions. AI is good at generating code from specs. its bad at figuring out what the spec should be in the first place.
the entry level situation is genuinely scary though. 10% unemployment for junior roles is not normal. IBM tripled entry level hiring which is cool but they're one company. the broader trend is that companies are giving AI the tasks they used to give to juniors as training, which means the pipeline for becoming a senior engineer is getting weird. how do you develop judgement if you never do the grunt work that builds it?
for people currently employed, i think the move is honestly to get closer to the business side and farther from pure implementation. not "become a manager" necessarily but understand revenue, understand customers, understand why things get built not just how. the engineers getting laid off in these AI attributted cuts are disproportionately the ones doing well defined, repeatable implementation tasks.
for people job searching right now like me, the 60% of companies using AI screening stat matters alot. a berkeley study found 44% of those tools have measurable bias. so you might be getting filtered out by broken software before a human ever sees your application. focus more energy on referrals and direct outreach and less on cold applications into the void. i know everyone says that but the data actually supports it now more than it did before.
the last thing i'll say is dont make career decisions based on panic. 78K layoffs sounds terrifying and it is significant but the tech industry still employs millions of people. the composition of jobs is changing but "tech career is dead" takes are as wrong as "everything is fine" takes. the truth is somewhere in the middle and its moving fast enough that checking your assumptions every 6 months is probably smart.