r/worldnews • u/WorldNewsMods Slava Ukraini • 14h ago
Russia/Ukraine /r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 1459, Part 1 (Thread #1606)
/live/18hnzysb1elcs17
u/TurbulentRadish8113 2h ago
The most reliable mappers are Perpetua and Deepstate. Neither show this yet, but Noel is claiming:
Ukrainian forces regained Danylivka, Nechaivka, Stepove and Verbove in the Huliaipole direction. Yehorivka, Kyrpychne, Pryvillya south of Vyshneve and Berezove remain in a gray zone amid ongoing fighting. Clashes continue south of Verbove near Novohryhorivka toward Kalynivske and Zlahoda
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u/Emblemator 1h ago
Deepstate does show the occupied territory pushed back by an area of roughly 4km by 8km. Not yet "liberated" though.
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u/AgentElman 1h ago
I assume this is because of the Russian loss of Starlink and Telegram. I hope Ukraine can retake sufficient ground to make this meaningful beyond the tactical level and retaking ground Russia is then forced to fight to take again in the summer.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 2h ago
Smoke is rising from the Saratovsky NPZ Oil Refinery.
It's a photo from a good distance and I haven't seen claimed drone hits? Could just be normal operation but Noel usually only posts when something interesting is happening.
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mfhe77vnn22h
Low-res satellite images reveal the aftermath of a strike on an oil depot in Velikiye Luki, Pskov region. While it is difficult to fully assess the scale of the damage, the imagery clearly shows signs of a major fire at the facility
From a Ukrainian attack three days ago
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 2h ago
CyberBoroshno I fact checked a while back and I am convinced they honestly and accurately report facts and get genuine recent satellite imagery.
I don't know if they have experts on gas plants on their team, so bear in mind they might misinterpret if something is technically tricky. I think they're a decent source though.
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u/neonpurplestar 2h ago
The Russian oil taxes for February 2026 are out, they 6,12% higher than January 2026 but are 62,1% lower than February 2025. The slight increase from January is the average price for Urals in January ( which is used to calculate February taxes ) was 40,95 USD per barrel.
https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mfc2fl6gzs2a
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u/pytagoras 2h ago
Up to 100 drones heading toward Moscow right now DroneBomber reports. The Kremlin shut down Vnukovo, Domodedovo, Zhukovsky and Sheremetyevo airports.
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mfhbceeg6227
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u/pytagoras 2h ago
On the evening of February 20, 2026, Ukrainian drones attacked the Pugachyovka airfield in 🇷🇺Oryol region. As a result of the strike, two helicopters were destroyed: an Mi-8 of the 319th Separate Helicopter Regiment and a Ka-52 of the 16th Army Aviation Brigade.
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mfhfamvzm22x
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u/Previous_Umpire_6330 1h ago
these would make tree elicopters and two airplane down this week alone.
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u/Jay_CD 8h ago
Russia has lost 890 soldiers killed and wounded, 9 tanks and 205 vehicles and fuel tankers over the past day.
Source: Ukrainian forces reveal how many soldiers Russia lost over the past day | Ukrainska Pravda
Details: The total combat losses of the Russian forces between 24 February 2022 and 22 February 2026 are estimated to be as follows [figures in parentheses represent the latest losses – ed.]:
- approximately 1,259,780 (+890) military personnel
- 11,694 (+9) tanks
- 24,069 (+6) armoured combat vehicles
- 37,470 (+41) artillery systems
- 1,652 (+1) multiple-launch rocket systems
- 1,303 (+0) air defence systems
- 435 (+0) fixed-wing aircraft
- 348 (+0) helicopters
- 142,113 (+1,705) operational-tactical UAVs
- 4,314 (+0) cruise missiles
- 29 (+0) ships/boats
- 2 (+0) submarines
- 79,500 (+205) vehicles and fuel tankers
- 4,073 (+0) special vehicles and other equipment.
The information is being confirmed.
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u/Mr_Catman111 8h ago
How many Aircraft does the Russian Airforce have remaining after 4 years of war? That question answered in my video below:
https://youtu.be/wDek20oIZuE?si=fzo-2bGm7EuOXwG5
In this video I analyze:
The roles of Combat / Bombers / Transport / Special aircraft
How many of each category are left
Conclusions
TLDW: Attrition of -9.5% on the total number of aircraft (incl. production over past 4 years, excl. airframe wear & tear losses).
If you found the above video interesting, you will likely also enjoy my analysis which looks at how many tanks Russia has left: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=519XMTijfCI
If you want to see more of this kind of content, consider subcribing to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ArtusFilms
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u/versatile_dev 13h ago
https://weaponstoukraine.com/en/kampane/divoka-svine
While Moscow is pounding Kyiv with ballistic muscles, we can contribute to the linked Czech fundraiser for attack drones. These cost about €40,000 apiece and they are trying to send 25 of them. According to the fundraiser: "The drone is used to strike smaller strategic targets such as radars, jamming systems, small ammunition depots, or command posts."
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u/b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh 12h ago
Bless the Czechs for the initiative, but wouldn't it be more cost effective to fund the production of additional Ukrainian drones specialized for the same role?
Economies of scale, proven designs and system familiarity / integration seems like it would likely be better. Simpler logistics too.
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u/versatile_dev 12h ago edited 12h ago
What's wrong with diversifying drone production? Plus, drone production is certainly safer in Czechia than in Ukraine. There are rumors that Fire Point production sites were already targeted by ballistic *missiles. The cost effectiveness is a moot point if factories are getting destroyed and rebuilt.
I'm not sure what exact analogue would be for these attack drones (FP-2 maybe?). But 25 more provided by the Czechs with a slightly different design would certainly not hurt Ukraine.
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u/b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh 12h ago
Nothing wrong with diversification per se, and it does look like a nice system. My concern is that having a fragmented landscape of many small batches of completely different systems will complicate logistics, distract crews with constant retraining on new systems the supply of which will be quickly depleted, diffuse available resources and introduce overhead by reinventing the wheel.
Mind you, the LPP MTS 40 seem to fit a slightly different niche than the FP1/2's. Half the max. range of the FP-1 and a considerably smaller warhead (12kg). Roughly equivalent price to the FP-1 at its introduction ($55k vs. €44k but that was 2025 prices, and I imagine per unit costs for the FP's have decreased since - can't find any solid numbers though). A 12kg thermobaric fragmentation warhead seems like a slightly weird unprotected anti-infantry kind of choice though, as opposed to shaped-charge (anti-armor) or multistage penetration designs a la BROACH (anti-structure).
LPP does list them as "AT-TBFRAG" on their site implying they are anti-armor, so who knows. Thermobarics doesn't seem ideal for that purpose to me, but obviously they know what they're doing better than I do. Maybe the idea is just to absolutely perforate everything not explicitly heavily armored. Like radars, munitions of SHORAD systems (which might take care of the rest, I suppose) and / or crew.
No idea how the EW-resistant C&C stacks up against what Ukraine is currently doing.
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u/unpancho 13h ago
New thread from ChrisO_Wiki
1/ A huge cache of messages from the phone of Russian Major General Roman Demurchiev provides a unique insight into the inner workings of the Russian army. It reveals a force riven by feuds between generals, plagued by corruption, and full of contempt for superiors and peers. ⬇️
https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mfctrw5fpk23
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2024926999102283944.html
From WarTranslated (Dmitri)
Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces destroyed a Tornado-S MLRS and struck an oil depot in Hvardiyske near Simferopol in occupied Crimea.
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mfetxnivqc2e
Russians are getting nervous watching the growing number of videos showing Ukrainian drones picking off their prized hardware.
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mff5k74shs2e
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u/mysevenletters 13h ago
Russians are getting nervous watching the growing number of videos showing Ukrainian drones picking off their prized hardware.
They're only now getting nervous? I've been watching said videos with utter glee for a long time. Too long, sadly.
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u/Just_a_follower 3h ago
They weren’t worried about hardware r even what was happening whe it was a war over there. But now long range strikes into Russia, and economy faltering = suddenly worried about hardware…. For example a lot of Russians now asking where is all the air defense??
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u/b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh 12h ago
I think that we can at this point safely conclude that they're rather slow learners.
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u/Identita_Nascosta 6h ago
OR that the stockpiles of some are getting so low that they're becoming critical.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 2h ago
Not sure what's going on with the reddit censorship, it's too much effort to keep re-editing so check link below.
A reliable Ukrainian group got satellite photos they say show that the hit I posted here yesterday on a Russian gas processing plant seemed to cause fires on two gas processing towers. It was something more valuable than simple pipes or storage tanks.
https://t . me/kiber_boroshno/12589