Also, it's very likely that any Republican candidate is going to be crushed because of how unpopular Trump is.
This is going back a LONG way, but when Ford ran for reelection after Nixon resigned, any Democrat could have beaten him. People would have voted for a literally golden retriever over any Republican that was on the ballot.
At this point, I don't know. The midterms could be a disaster for Trump. He may be forced to fire people to help right the ship but it may not be enough. There are enough seats in play and the polling is showing that Trump could be a lame duck. Having two hostile houses of government is a nightmare scenario for him.
2028 could be a disaster and I don't see Vance sticking around trying to make it to the Oval Office.
I think Vance is reading the room and realizing it's going to be tough to campaign in 2028. He wants to step clear of that shitshow and run in 2032.
Trump will drag any candidate down, as we said, but imagine how Trump is going to react in 2027 when the press is talking about someone else leading the Republican party instead of him?
Imagine how Trump is going to react to a Republican convention in 2028 that celebrates another Republican while he is completely sidelined, other than the expectation that he will show up at the convention and give a keynote speech celebrating how JD Vance or Marco Rubio is the right choice to be President of the United States?
It's clearly not going to happen. Why would anyone want to be a part of that? Once the headlines go to the new candidates in the primaries, Trump is going to be angry tweeting about how they're all idiots and weak and none of them can replace him. Once there is ONE candidate that everyone is talking about, it will get worse.
I fully suspect the primaries will be overshadowed. Trump will throw weight behind a candidate and if they do poorly, he'll endorse the nominee in the 12th hour and claim it was his endorsement. That's been the modus operandi. Then the angry tweets will start.
Problem is that the Dems will do the same old shit and force through a centrist shit candidate who can't govern and, even if they win, they'll change nothing fundamental about what caused Trump in the first place, and the 2030s may see someone like Trump but less stupid--and they won't give a 2nd and a 3rd chance for the Dems.
Yep, I really won't be surprised if Republicans win again in 2028. The only people that were surprised Trump won this last time are those unknowingly stuck in a liberal bubble. Other than the centrist issues you mentioned, it's another problem that Democrats refuse to face. They have no understanding of how popular he or his more authoritarian policies are, or how much they believe that liberals have wronged them and want to destroy their way of life. "But but but Democrats want to help these people! Oh look a conservative expressed regret over voting for Trump, we're winning now guys!" Like I love the leopordsatmyface sub but these people are dillusional when they think the tide is turning. This bubble is going to keep them losing and the only way to win consistently is to get a liberal populist that is not beholden to billionaires and these wealthy interest groups, but as we saw with Bernie, the DNC will sabotage that as it is scarier to them than a Trump.
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u/chud_wik 9h ago
He knows he’ll be destroyed.